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Components of a Hotel Impact Study by Rachel Roginsky, ISHC

February 17, 2006

Hotel-Online article published February 17, 2006 - Hotel impact represents a commitment to protect franchisees' rights. For developers looking to expand a franchisor presence in a specific market, it can mean delays and challenges in the franchise approval process. For franchisees' it may signify erosion of their key asset - demand generated through their brand's central reservation system (CRS).

There are two tiers of impact - Base Impact and Incremental Impact. Base Impact is defined as the effect of new competition on an existing property, usually resulting form the addition of hotel rooms to the competitive market. Base impact could also result from the repositioning of an existing hotel to a "better" product. In this scenario no new rooms would be added to the market, but competitive rooms will be created. The rebranding would make both properties compete directly for similarly rated business and could subject existing hotels to base impact.

Incremental Impact is defined as the effect of new competition on an existing property due to the addition of hotel rooms that operate under the same brand or franchise company or that access the same reservations system. An example of this would be the addition of a Franchise "A" hotel located ten miles away from an existing Franchise "A" hotel. This could cause incremental impact depending upon the demand characteristics of the area. While any new supply could cause base impact, new supply within the same franchise or reservations network may cause base and incremental impact. The additional impact incurred due to the dilution of the franchise company-generated business is known as incremental impact.

Hotel owners frequently fail to recognize this difference. Franchisors tend to focus only on incremental impact when deciding whether to approve a franchise application. While most impact studies will include calculations of base impact, it is not the main concern of the franchise company.

Although hotel companies have different policies regarding who has the right to object and who will undertake the impact study, the basis by which to evaluate and quantify impact remains similar. Considerations in determining impact are geographic characteristics, target markets and market mixes, hotel rate structures, and central reservations system contributions. The critical steps in conducting an impact study include:

  • Evaluating the existing property
  • Analyzing the competition and competitive market
  • Profiling the applicant property
  • Profiling the franchise company and relevant brands
  • Projecting occupancy and average daily rates for the existing hotel
  • Determining impact

A more detailed discussion on impact can be found in "Hotel Investments: Issues & Perspectives"- 4th Edition.

Rachel J. Roginsky, ISHC, is a principal and co-owner of Pinnacle Advisory Group and Pinnacle Realty Investments. Pinnacle Advisory Group is a national hospitality consulting firm, while Pinnacle Realty is a full-service transaction firm specializing in selling hotels and sourcing both debt and equity for hotel assets. Over the past 25 years, she has provided advisory services for lenders, hotel owners, management companies, and investors throughout the United States. These services include market and economic feasibility studies, operational analysis, appraisals, litigation support, and asset management for hotels and hospitality related assets. Additionally, Ms. Roginsky also has four years of operational and management experience with Walt Disney World and a major restaurant chain. She is a graduate of and a regular guest lecturer at The School of Hotel Administration at Cornell University, is a board member of the Massachusetts Lodging Association, and the International Society of Hospitality Consultants, has written numerous articles in business and hospitality industry periodicals, and is quoted regularly in newspapers such as the Wall Street Journal, the Boston Globe, and the NY Times. Ms. Roginsky is also certified as an arbitrator and mediator for Hospitality Alternative Dispute Resolution.

Contact details for Ms. Roginsky are as follows:

Pinnacle Advisory Group
76 Canal Street
Boston, MA 02114
Telephone: 617-722-9916
Email: rroginsky@pinnacle-advisory.com
Website: www.pinnacle-advisory.com

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